Markets
Every live market with real-time odds — filter by category, sort by volume or liquidity. Click any market for odds history, order book and top holders.
115 markets
Fed Decision in September?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change59¢
25 bps increase41¢
25 bps decrease1¢
$1.65M 24h$25.9M total$2.83M liq
July Inflation US - Annual
EconomicsMacro7h
3.4%40¢
3.3%37¢
3.5%14¢
$40.7K 24h$415K total$87.1K liq
July Inflation US - Monthly
EconomicsMacro7h
≥0.1%72¢
0.0%25¢
-0.1%5¢
$33.9K 24h$179K total$26.1K liq
Fed rate hike in 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
Yes59¢
No42¢
$15.2K 24h$7.08M total$193K liq
Core CPI YoY - July 2026
EconomicsMacro7h
2.4%45¢
2.5%43¢
2.6%6¢
$13.5K 24h$88.4K total$48.0K liq
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
EconomicsFed & Rates
Pause–Pause–Pause60¢
Other40¢
Pause–Pause–Cut1¢
$12.5K 24h$656K total$72.2K liq
C
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
EconomicsMacro7h
0.2%55¢
0.1%30¢
0.3%11¢
$9.3K 24h$134K total$37.0K liq
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.5¢
No93¢
Yes8¢
$7.0K 24h$130K total$17.9K liq
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No58¢
Yes42¢
$7.0K 24h$761K total$194K liq
Fed Decision in December?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change59¢
25 bps increase33¢
25 bps decrease9¢
$4.5K 24h$94.6K total$433K liq
Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
EconomicsMacro
0.3%–0.5%58¢
0.6%–0.8%22¢
$3.3K 24h$23.4K total$5.5K liq
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.1%+60¢
2.8-3.0%17¢
2.5–2.7%7¢
$2.4K 24h$76.9K total$35.1K liq
US recession by end of 2026?
EconomicsMacro
0.5¢
No93¢
Yes7¢
$2.3K 24h$1.70M total$38.8K liq
F
Fed Decision in October?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change68¢
25 bps increase25¢
25 bps decrease7¢
$2.2K 24h$553K total$449K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
2.5¢
No54¢
Yes46¢
$2.1K 24h$3.8K total$310 liq
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
0.5¢
No88¢
Yes12¢
$1.8K 24h$304K total$13.3K liq
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.5–3.9%26¢
2.0–2.4%4¢
1.0–1.4%2¢
$1.7K 24h$24.6K total$4.5K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $795 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
2.5¢
No95¢
Yes5¢
$1.6K 24h$2.2K total$1.1K liq
Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
EconomicsMacro
0.2-0.3%66¢
0.0-0.1%19¢
0.4-0.5%10¢
$1.6K 24h$11.2K total$6.3K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
3.3¢
No63¢
Yes37¢
$1.5K 24h$15.6K total$1.0K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
1.8¢
No93¢
Yes7¢
$1.3K 24h$2.3K total$573 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
2.5¢
No87¢
Yes14¢
$1.2K 24h$1.8K total$684 liq
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
0 (0 bps)40¢
1 (25 bps)37¢
2 (50 bps)15¢
$1.2K 24h$133K total$55.7K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $805 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
1.0¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$1.2K 24h$1.2K total$5.8K liq
August Unemployment Rate
EconomicsMacro
4.1%37¢
4.3%29¢
4.2%28¢
$1.0K 24h$6.8K total$1.7K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
7.0¢
No89¢
Yes11¢
$1.0K 24h$1.6K total$908 liq
A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - July
EconomicsMacro43h
1.8-2.0%66¢
2.1-2.3%29¢
1.5-1.7%5¢
$1.0K 24h$23.7K total$5.1K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No97¢
Yes3¢
$964 24h$7.0K total$3.7K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
6.1¢
No86¢
Yes14¢
$898 24h$5.7K total$1.7K liq
Fed Decision in January?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change62¢
25 bps increase25¢
25 bps decrease11¢
$864 24h$17.5K total$269K liq
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
EconomicsFed & Rates
No change80¢
50+ bps increase10¢
25 bps increase8¢
$862 24h$20.4K total$5.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
7.5¢
No75¢
Yes25¢
$851 24h$2.7K total$671 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
7.0¢
Yes67¢
No34¢
$845 24h$11.0K total$536 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
5.5¢
No93¢
Yes7¢
$843 24h$1.2K total$933 liq
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
4.3¢
No92¢
Yes8¢
$805 24h$31.4K total$7.8K liq
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
EconomicsMacro
0.0%–0.8%35¢
0.8%–1.6%28¢
1.6%–2.4%20¢
$788 24h$32.4K total$2.1K liq
G
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
EconomicsMacro
1.0-1.2%36¢
0.7-0.9%33¢
0.4-0.6%13¢
$769 24h$21.5K total$7.0K liq
UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
EconomicsMacro3h
0.4–0.5%59¢
0.2–0.3%30¢
0.0–0.1%14¢
$735 24h$33.6K total$4.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
0.5¢
No86¢
Yes14¢
$677 24h$9.9K total$4.4K liq
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
4.1-4.4%30¢
>5.0%9¢
2.9-3.2%3¢
$635 24h$14.9K total$3.8K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
2.0¢
No73¢
Yes28¢
$632 24h$3.7K total$566 liq
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
2.5–2.9%39¢
3.5-3.9%13¢
1.0–1.4%5¢
$628 24h$18.7K total$10.7K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No94¢
Yes7¢
$600 24h$3.8K total$3.6K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No98¢
Yes2¢
$597 24h$4.0K total$3.1K liq
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
EconomicsFed & Rates
Other48¢
Pause–Pause–Pause43¢
Pause–Pause–Cut3¢
$540 24h$624K total$101K liq
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No80¢
Yes21¢
$539 24h$144K total$7.7K liq
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No97¢
Yes3¢
$483 24h$58.0K total$14.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
2.5¢
No80¢
Yes20¢
$449 24h$41.3K total$1.1K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
No96¢
Yes4¢
$435 24h$53.9K total$6.9K liq
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
EconomicsMacro
≤1.9%50¢
2.5-2.9%1¢
3.0-3.4%1¢
$429 24h$24.0K total$3.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
No92¢
Yes8¢
$408 24h$1.4K total$867 liq
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets23h
7.0¢
Up57¢
Down43¢
$407 24h$407 total$743 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
1.0¢
No97¢
Yes3¢
$390 24h$5.0K total$1.3K liq
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.0¢
No81¢
Yes20¢
$386 24h$148K total$5.4K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.3¢
No97¢
Yes3¢
$370 24h$11.5K total$7.7K liq
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
1.0¢
Yes67¢
No34¢
$358 24h$185K total$17.2K liq
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
25-29.9%48¢
30.0-34.9%48¢
<20%2¢
$350 24h$33.7K total$4.6K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets
No99¢
Yes1¢
$326 24h$342 total$775 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
5.0¢
No90¢
Yes10¢
$313 24h$781 total$818 liq
2026 World GDP Growth
EconomicsMacro
3.3%6¢
3.4%5¢
3.6%4¢
$310 24h$10.5K total$2.4K liq
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
EconomicsMacro
3.0–3.4%36¢
2.5–2.9%23¢
2.0–2.4%9¢
$279 24h$36.7K total$7.3K liq
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No Change84¢
25 bps decrease3¢
$275 24h$20.8K total$2.8K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets
1.6¢
Yes97¢
No3¢
$270 24h$319 total$790 liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets
9.3¢
No90¢
Yes10¢
$240 24h$406 total$1.0K liq
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No97¢
Yes3¢
$232 24h$41.9K total$4.1K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $800 on August 11?
EconomicsMarkets
No100¢
Yes1¢
$220 24h$469 total$929 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$203 24h$28.2K total$6.9K liq
Bank of Canada Decision in September?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No Change99¢
25 bps increase1¢
$200 24h$37.2K total$9.3K liq
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.50% to 3.99%29¢
3.00% to 3.49%22¢
4.00% to 4.49%15¢
$197 24h$60.8K total$6.5K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$188 24h$357K total$11.6K liq
E
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
EconomicsMacro
0.5¢
Yes52¢
No49¢
$187 24h$13.0K total$1.2K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $800 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets23h
49.5¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$184 24h$184 total$804 liq
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
EconomicsMacro
0-1.0%71¢
1.0-2.0%25¢
6.0-7.0%0¢
$174 24h$20.7K total$2.9K liq
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
1.0¢
No51¢
Yes50¢
$170 24h$413K total$89.3K liq
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
EconomicsMacro
≥3.0%44¢
2.5–3.0%20¢
1.5–2.0%9¢
$165 24h$10.4K total$4.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of August 10 2026?
EconomicsMarkets3d
1.5¢
No97¢
Yes3¢
$159 24h$1.2K total$1.4K liq
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No95¢
Yes5¢
$150 24h$6.8K total$35.3K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
No88¢
Yes13¢
$140 24h$36.0K total$1.9K liq
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
EconomicsMacro
1-2%71¢
0-1%20¢
3-4%1¢
$133 24h$48.2K total$3.4K liq
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
EconomicsMarkets
Yes75¢
No26¢
$130 24h$743 total$526 liq
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets23h
14.0¢
Up64¢
Down36¢
$125 24h$125 total$2.4K liq
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
No96¢
Yes4¢
$125 24h$20.7K total$17.3K liq
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$123 24h$2.0K total$1.4K liq
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
EconomicsMacro
0.9¢
No94¢
Yes6¢
$119 24h$9.4K total$969 liq
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
330¢
220¢
019¢
$112 24h$7.0K total$11.0K liq
India Annual Inflation 2026
EconomicsMacro
3.75% to 4.49%15¢
<0.75%4¢
3.00% to 3.74%2¢
$111 24h$59.5K total$5.7K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
0.5¢
No96¢
Yes4¢
$111 24h$731 total$9.3K liq
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
0.6¢
No95¢
Yes5¢
$101 24h$79.7K total$1.4K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
No91¢
Yes10¢
$100 24h$24.7K total$9.8K liq
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No90¢
Yes11¢
$100 24h$4.1K total$20.9K liq
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
EconomicsFed & Rates
324¢
4+23¢
118¢
$100 24h$635 total$7.3K liq
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
EconomicsFed & Rates
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%94¢
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%5¢
$96 24h$15.7K total$6.8K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No96¢
Yes4¢
$89 24h$207K total$9.5K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets23h
48.8¢
No99¢
Yes1¢
$80 24h$80 total$735 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$78 24h$19.1K total$16.3K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$73 24h$307K total$11.8K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
0.5¢
No51¢
Yes49¢
$72 24h$252 total$7 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
4.5¢
No70¢
Yes30¢
$66 24h$20.6K total$3.0K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
EconomicsMarkets
2.5¢
No88¢
Yes13¢
$65 24h$4.4K total$880 liq
What will be the next Fed rate change?
EconomicsFed & Rates
7.5¢
Hike71¢
Cut30¢
$53 24h$1.9K total$2.8K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No91¢
Yes9¢
$50 24h$80.2K total$7.0K liq
UK Recession in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
1.5¢
No82¢
Yes19¢
$50 24h$8.3K total$762 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?
EconomicsMarkets
No98¢
Yes2¢
$50 24h$3.7K total$4.2K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets23h
44.5¢
Yes95¢
No5¢
$38 24h$38 total$948 liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
EconomicsMarkets
2.0¢
Yes82¢
No19¢
$37 24h$8.4K total$635 liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No96¢
Yes4¢
$34 24h$2.1K total$8.4K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No99¢
Yes2¢
$32 24h$3.7K total$13.5K liq
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 12?
EconomicsMarkets23h
47.5¢
Yes98¢
No3¢
$30 24h$30 total$620 liq
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
EconomicsMacro
6.7¢
No67¢
Yes33¢
$30 24h$14.4K total$1.1K liq
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$25 24h$105K total$9.2K liq
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
EconomicsMarkets
No52¢
Yes49¢
$23 24h$33 total$2 liq
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
EconomicsFed & Rates
No97¢
Yes3¢
$23 24h$52.4K total$7.0K liq
M
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
EconomicsMacro
No67¢
Yes34¢
$21 24h$2.3K total$1.8K liq
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
EconomicsMacro
No54¢
Yes47¢
$21 24h$11.1K total$1.4K liq